LIFESPAN STUDIOARCHIVE • ED. 2026
Independent Longevity Archive • Updated Sept 2026

How long will your hardware actually last?

Every device exists on two independent timelines: physical hardware degradation and official manufacturer software cutoff dates. Find out which horizon arrives first.

92Devices Tracked
18Support Policies
Dual-ClockWear vs Policy
100%Cited Standards
01 / ESTIMATOR
Specification Parameters

Configure Model

moderate

Everyday work, streaming

Lifespan Blueprint

Google Pixel 9

Plenty of life
Estimated Usable Lifespan Remaining
about 4 years(~4 yrs left)
Critical Limiter: typical hardware wear at this usage level.

Dual-Clock Runway Analysis

Min(Hardware, Security)
Physical Hardware Wear RunwayAug 2030
Cycle exhaustion & component degradation at moderate daily usage
OS Security Support HorizonAug 2031
Official manufacturer firmware & security commitment deadline
Release: 2024-08Policy Confidence: Published date

Verified Manufacturer Citations:

•Google Pixel update schedule↗
02 / CATALOGUE

The Hardware Archive

Comprehensive catalogue of 92 devices across Apple, Google, Samsung, Microsoft, Lenovo, Dell, and Framework.

Apple • PhonePast window

iPhone XR

Released: 2018-09Simulate →
Apple • PhonePast window

iPhone 11

Released: 2019-09Simulate →
Apple • PhonePast window

iPhone SE (2nd gen)

Released: 2020-04Simulate →
Apple • Phone~1 mo left

iPhone 12

Released: 2020-10Simulate →
Apple • Phone~12 mo left

iPhone 13

Released: 2021-09Simulate →
Apple • Phone~6 mo left

iPhone SE (3rd gen)

Released: 2022-03Simulate →
Apple • Phone~2 yrs left

iPhone 14

Released: 2022-09Simulate →
Apple • Phone~2 yrs left

iPhone 14 Plus

Released: 2022-09Simulate →
Apple • Phone~3 yrs left

iPhone 15

Released: 2023-09Simulate →
Apple • Phone~4 yrs left

iPhone 16

Released: 2024-09Simulate →
Apple • Phone~4 yrs left

iPhone 16 Pro

Released: 2024-09Simulate →
Apple • Phone~5 yrs left

iPhone 17

Released: 2025-09Simulate →
Apple • Phone~5 yrs left

iPhone 17 Pro

Released: 2025-09Simulate →
Google • PhonePast window

Pixel 3

Released: 2018-10Simulate →
Google • PhonePast window

Pixel 5

Released: 2020-10Simulate →
Google • Phone~1 mo left

Pixel 6

Released: 2021-10Simulate →
Google • Phone~10 mo left

Pixel 6a

Released: 2022-07Simulate →
Google • Phone~13 mo left

Pixel 7

Released: 2022-10Simulate →
Google • Phone~20 mo left

Pixel 7a

Released: 2023-05Simulate →
Google • Phone~9 mo left

Pixel Fold

Released: 2023-06Simulate →
Google • Phone~3 yrs left

Pixel 8

Released: 2023-10Simulate →
Google • Phone~4 yrs left

Pixel 9

Released: 2024-08Simulate →
Samsung • PhonePast window

Galaxy S9

Released: 2018-03Simulate →
Samsung • PhonePast window

Galaxy S20

Released: 2020-03Simulate →
Samsung • PhonePast window

Galaxy Note 20

Released: 2020-08Simulate →
Samsung • PhonePast window

Galaxy S21

Released: 2021-01Simulate →
Samsung • Phone~5 mo left

Galaxy S22

Released: 2022-02Simulate →
Samsung • Phone~17 mo left

Galaxy S23

Released: 2023-02Simulate →
Samsung • Phone~8 mo left

Galaxy A14

Released: 2023-05Simulate →
Samsung • Phone~18 mo left

Galaxy A34

Released: 2023-03Simulate →

Displaying first 30 of 92 catalogued devices. Use the search field to isolate specific models.

03 / VALUATION

Repair vs. Replace Valuation

A battery replacement or component overhaul restores hardware wear runway, but cannot extend manufacturer security firmware cutoffs. Calculate whether investing in repairs delivers positive economic return.

Economic Recommendation

Recommended: Replace

Replacing delivers better monthly value over time compared to the repair cost.

Live Supplier Trade-In Estimate (Condition: moderate)
Live market data unavailable for this specific model configuration.
Security End: 2031-08Added Runway: +3 mos
04 / METHODOLOGY

Methodology & Standards

How our lifespan engine models hardware cycle degradation and manufacturer security support commitments.

The Dual-Clock Formulation

Every modern consumer device operates on two independent clocks: Physical Hardware Wear (battery capacity degradation, NAND memory cell fatigue, thermal mechanical stress) and Firmware Security (vendor support updates). A device ceases to be safely viable when min(Hardware, Security) is reached.

Zero-Inflation Verification

We cite published manufacturer commitments directly (Apple Vintage/Obsolete matrix, Google Pixel 7-year pledge, Samsung Galaxy Security Scope, Microsoft Surface lifecycle). We never inflate or project hypothetical support timelines without explicit manufacturer citation.